A sigh of relief
Inflation is good when it is in line with expectations; the market's degree of inclusiveness to inflation is really high.
But that's great. Since the beginning of the year, I've been in heavy storage $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ Since then, I've always been bullish on the stock market. Although positions were cut a bit yesterday and TLT was shorted, it is only protective; short positions are smaller than long positions. NVDA opened a large position last week, and none of them were sold, so I'm still worried about the CPI. Today, I was relieved to see Brother Yu finally make a strong breakthrough.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ Standing steady at 92, the risk of falling back and forth on the technical side is eliminated; it is a rebound that has bottomed out. At least there's nothing to worry about until the next CPI data. If next month's CPI data continues to improve, it can rise above 95 in June, and basically enter the second half of the year, so we can generally confirm that we have broken out of the bear market. If CPI and core CPI decline for three consecutive months, and the labor market slows down at the same time, TLT should be able to return to 100 and officially enter a bull market. I'm currently in no hurry to enter the market, continue to wait and see, while holding a high-dividend vclt.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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wangcaifan : Thanks for sharing
70195760 : See your post often, thanks but many do not agree too much
The TLT is a slow one in the long run because the expectation of a drop in interest rates is closer to an increase unless “a big increase in interest rates and a few points” I feel there is little use in buying put TLT, but rather an opportunity for a liquidation
TSM needs to be protected. It's a good stock, but most semiconductor stocks have a lot of protection for it to make sense. But TSM's long-term holdings don't have to worry too much. I got it from 98 to now it sounds like a big gain but I got two years.