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Bitcoin Conference Ends: Will the $1M Prediction Hold?
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Goldman Sachs Boosts BlackRock Bitcoin ETF 28% as IBIT Sets 2025 Inflow Record

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Crypto-Moo joined discussion · May 13 17:31
Goldman Sachs now holds $1.4 billion worth of $iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT.US)$, making it the ETF's largest institutional investor after boosting its stake by $285.1 billion in the fund, equivalent to buying 71,000 Bitcoins at current prices.
IBIT dominates 2025 inflows, while legacy ETFs like $Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC.US)$ struggle. Note the 20-day inflow streak in May 2025, the longest of the year, aligning with Goldman Sachs' 28% stake increase.
The Block
The Block
Decoding the Chart: A Tale of Two ETFs
The Block's Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows chart (above) reveals a stark divide. While IBIT has maintained consistent inflows since January 2025, peaking at $2 billion in April, competitors like Grayscale's GBTC and ARK's $ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.US)$ have languished, even dipping into outflows during March's market turbulence. Two critical takeaways emerge:
1. Liquidity Begets Liquidity: IBIT's $980 million average daily trading volume (nearly matching Tesla's) creates a virtuous cycle. Tight spreads and minimal tracking errors attract more capital, further deepening liquidity, a prerequisite for institutional adoption.
2. The Survival of the Biggest: Smaller ETFs like $Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF (BITC.US)$ and $VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL.US)$ saw outflows during May's 11% Bitcoin price swing, while IBIT's premium to net asset value (NAV) never dipped below 0.18%. For novice investors: In crypto's institutional era, scale equals safety.
The Goldman Playbook: More Than Just Hodling
Goldman's SEC filings reveal a multilayered strategy that retail investors can emulate:
Core Position: The bank's 30.8 million IBIT shares serve as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin's maturation as "digital gold."
Strategic Hedge: Its 3.5 million shares of Fidelity's $Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC.US)$ provide diversification against regulatory or operational risks specific to any single fund.
Options Armor: While not disclosed in recent filings, Goldman's December 2024 report showed $157 million in IBIT call options (bullish bets) and $527 million in puts (bearish insurance). This balanced approach allows institutions to profit from volatility without catastrophic downside.
Critically, Goldman's accumulation occurred during Q1's 14% Bitcoin rally, proving even professionals prefer dollar-cost averaging over timing peaks. As Bloomberg noted: "This isn't speculation—it's asset allocation."
The Hidden Driver: Hedge Funds' "Basis Trade" Revival
Behind IBIT's inflows lies a Wall Street arbitrage strategy last seen in 2021: the basis trade. By buying spot Bitcoin ETFs while shorting CME Bitcoin futures, hedge funds lock in risk-free profits.
Goldman's 28% stake expansion suggests it's either participating in this trade or catering to clients who are, a dynamic that explains IBIT's $5.1 billion inflow surge despite Bitcoin's flat performance in early May.
For retail investors, this creates both opportunity and peril:
Opportunity: Basic trades stabilize ETF premiums, making IBIT a safer vehicle for long-term holdings.
Peril: Massive short positions in futures could trigger cascading liquidations during crashes.
Regulatory Tailwinds: From Wall Street to Your Wallet
Two underappreciated catalysts are fueling institutional demand:
1. Stablecoin Legislation: Goldman's digital assets chief, Mathew McDermott, told Token 2049 that pending stablecoin bills could let banks use Bitcoin ETFs as collateral for instant dollar loans. Imagine using IBIT shares to borrow USDC at 3% APR, a game-changer for small businesses.
2. Options Approval: BlackRock's closed-door SEC meetings about Bitcoin ETF options hint at imminent regulatory approval. Once live, retail investors could replicate Goldman's options strategy for as little as $100 per contract.
Meanwhile, the SEC's "pro-industry" shift has seen 14 crypto-related ETFs approved in 2025 alone—more than in 2022-2024 combined.
The $121 Billion Question: Should You Follow Smart Money?
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold $121 billion in assets, eclipsing January's prior record. But unlike the 2021 meme-stock frenzy, today's flows reflect calculated bets on infrastructure, not hype. Consider:
The Fee War: IBIT's 0.12% annual fee undercuts GBTC's 1.5%, saving a $10,000 investor $138/year.
Tax Efficiency: Unlike direct Bitcoin purchases, ETF shares can be transferred between brokers without triggering taxable events.
Retirement Accounts: Fidelity now allows IBIT in 401(k)s—a milestone for long-term holders.
Yet risks remain. The top 3 ETFs (IBIT, FBTC, GBTC) control 83% of assets, creating systemic fragility. If BlackRock's systems falter, the entire market could seize.
The Verdict: How to Act Now
For those considering their first Bitcoin ETF purchase:
1. Start Small: Allocate 1-5% of your portfolio, the same threshold Goldman uses for "experimental" assets.
2. Automate: Set up weekly IBIT buys to mirror institutional dollar-cost averaging.
3. Hedge: Pair ETF holdings with a 2-4% allocation to gold or Treasury ETFs to mitigate crypto volatility.
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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