The position of the weight of technology
Yesterday I had nothing to do. Since I heard that Nar wanted to adjust the weight, out of curiosity, I roughly calculated the current position of technology's weight in stock prices. Some brokerage firms will give this figure directly, but I did the math myself. With the lowest point since last year's bear market, the stock price is 0%, and the all-time high is 100%. Higher numbers indicate that the stock price is closer to the highest point:
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ 95%
$Apple(AAPL.US$ 93%
$Tesla(TSLA.US$ 54%
$Amazon(AMZN.US$ 44%
As can be seen, even though Tesla experienced a huge surge, its stock price is still quite a bit lower than its all-time high. So it is reasonable that many people continue to be bullish. As for me, I have left the market at a profit, so I don't dare to bet on financial reports.
Google and linen are still relatively cheap and have great potential to rise. As to whether to hype up a soft landing and recovery, or continue to hype about AI, or a recession coming from wolves, there is everyone's opinion, but Google and Linen are good targets, suitable for long-term purchases on dips. As for who is better, I personally think linen is more sensitive to the real economy, and Google's ability to resist recession is better. In terms of AI, Google is still the leading figure, and in the foreseeable future, the monopoly position of Google search will not be shaken by Bing. I sold amzn and other big technologies at profit, and currently hold a small amount of goog. If the pullback continues, I will increase my position.
As for meta, since I don't use FB or INS, I don't really know this company. I thought Musk's purchase of Twitter would affect the fundamentals of Meta, but currently it seems that Xiao Za's new product may shake the fundamentals of Twitter![]()
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However, Twitter has all been delisted. It has nothing to do with our shareholders' affairs. Whether Mr. Ma can fight back or not, whether he wants a fight or not, let's just watch movies and eat melons. However, if TSLA's stock price falls again because of Twitter's idiot, I think it's all an opportunity to buy.
As for my current positions, they are almost all about to fill up and go long. It's just that the target is changing from big technology to real estate, health care, energy, and small-cap stocks, and going long into the yen. As I mentioned before, the ones I hold a lot include:
$Zillow-C(Z.US$ It's been insane these days
$Target(TGT.US$ , finally standing on ema20
$Home Depot(HD.US$ , continues to be bullish
$Cheniere Energy(LNG.US$ , also bullish
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ , looking forward to the recovery of the chip cycle
Other positions include $Qualcomm(QCOM.US$ ， $The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund(XLV.US$ ， $Goldman Sachs(GS.US$ , and $Intel(INTC.US$ 。 Although these are still at the bottom of friction, once they break through, an upward trend will begin.
I bought it two days ago $Berkshire Hathaway-B(BRK.B.US$ as well $Lockheed Martin(LMT.US$ 。 I like peace, I don't like arms, but the world is getting closer to larger wars. Even if I don't buy them, I can't stop wars![]()
Belarus and Poland, Serbia and Kosovo, Israel and Palestine, North and South Korea are all powder kegs. Taiwan, on the other hand, will not have any problems, because China's leaders have great wisdom, and they won't disrupt their plans because of some skipping clowns.
Finally, these two days have been carefully followed higher. Today's CPI is positive at first glance, but in fact they are all negative. It's just a high base effect; inflation hasn't really improved. Next month's CPI is likely to thunderstorm.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ It has overfallen and rebounded, but it has not escaped the daily and weekly bearish pattern. There is a possibility of going down to 90 in the future. However, if you buy TLT around 100, as long as you keep it steady until interest rates are cut, you will only make money without compensation. The US economy will not maintain long-term growth under high interest rates. The longer interest rates remain high, the more severe the recession will be at that time. I think the Fed's slowing down the rate of interest rate hikes is a serious mistake. It only makes inflation stubborn, so it has been slow to cut interest rates, so this big thunderstorm will get bigger and bigger, and sooner or later it will explode.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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decisive Beaver_4398 : Very nice write up. I never fail to learn from your post and your thinking process however I entered LMT and RTX too early at a high price . I am looking at some of the stocks you mention too . Thanks sharing ..
高贵的阿德莱德OP decisive Beaver_4398: Although the stock prices of RTX and LMT are at historically high levels, they have been trading sideways for a long time. In the so-called exchange of time for space, the company has been developing for a year, yet the stock price has not increased much, so it has become cheaper
mubbiiee : Let's expand and talk about why the CPI looks good, but it's actually unfavorable? I think at least it looks really good; I haven't found any disadvantages.