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Roblox - Back from the dead?

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JP_mykayaplus wrote a column · May 10, 2023 09:12
Roblox - Back from the dead?
All seems ok with $Roblox(RBLX.US)$ latest Q1'23 results.
On the big picture, the company did well in Q1'21 to reaffirm some confidence after 2 successive quarters that were under satisfaction.
Here are some key points to take note of, even though the big picture seems good.
1. Revenue growth YoY is 22%
Source: Roblox Q1'23  presentation
Source: Roblox Q1'23 presentation
Roblox managed to eke out some growth in Q1'23 after just growing 2% in Q3'22 and Q4'22 YoY.
Even though the topline growth seems impressive, do take note net losses widened, cause mostly by increased research and development and infrastructure and trust & safety.
Source: Roblox Q1'23  presentation
Source: Roblox Q1'23 presentation
2. Daily Active Users (DAUs) increase, but not bookings per DAU
Source: Roblox Q1'23  presentation
Source: Roblox Q1'23 presentation
Apps that users get glued to need to show stable DAU growth. And this part Roblox has successfully done so. But apart from platforms like YouTube by $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US)$ and Facebook & Instagram by $Meta Platforms(META.US)$, apps like Roblox need to earn from users paying money.
This aspect is called the bookings per DAU.
And for this aspect, Roblox didn't do well.
Average bookings per DAU is flat, implying that users are not spending more on Roblox even though DAUs increased.
Source: Roblox Q1'23  presentation
Source: Roblox Q1'23 presentation
3. Back to positive free cash flow
Source: Roblox Q1'23  presentation
Source: Roblox Q1'23 presentation
Another silver lining is that Roblox returned back to positive free cash flow after experiencing negative free cash flow for successive 3 quarters.
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