Didn't buy it, then keep waiting
When I was on vacation before, I missed out on Tesla's buying point of about 155. Currently, as expected, it has risen to around 175 and has been blocked and declined. It's really a pity that I missed this wave. However, after returning from vacation, Tesla was over 160, and the increase of ten yuan was not worth the risk. The automobile industry as a whole is bearish this year, and Tesla also has to bow down under the roof, so it is not suitable for catching up.
$Apple(AAPL.US$ It's also similar. This year's mobile phones are also fading. $Qualcomm(QCOM.US$ Here's an example (luckily I ran all the way before my vacation). However, due to various dirty reasons, Apple currently has only one family. Apple is much more stable than Tesla, but it is difficult for it to grow even more. When Buffett held a shareholders' meeting last year, Apple began to plummet. I don't know what will happen this year?
A few of my current heavy positions:
1. Long-Term Bonds $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ Today, it fell back to the support level of 103-104, buy buy buy. Wait until the pressure level is 106-108, reduce the position appropriately, and keep the largest position unchanged.
2. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ Since IBM and other companies have announced future plans for AI to replace employees, AI has begun to show future profit expectations. My mindset has also changed a bit, and I'm starting to invest in AI. No matter which company engages in AI, the core player behind it is TSMC. Intel's technology isn't working, and Samsung's geopolitical risks are too great. Should there be a conflict between China and the US, it will definitely start with the Korean Peninsula, and let Kudari 2 act as cannon fodder first. As long as China wins, the second dog will probably lose the country. However, in the Taiwan Strait conflict, the US will have to gamble on Dog Tales 1 (Japan) and 3 (Philippines), which is even more risky for the US.
3. $ChargePoint(CHPT.US$ , the expansion of electric vehicles is good for charging. There is no need to talk too much about this
4. Cash — monetary funds. By default, many US brokerage firms do not invest cash to buy monetary funds and pay monthly dividends. The annualized return on cash holdings is already over 4.5%. In the face of such high risk-free returns, why risk betting on any stock? Just buy stocks that are sure to outperform by 4.5% and have a very low chance of losing money. As for brokerage firms, since no one gave me sponsorship fees, I wouldn't recommend them.
As for the general market trend, it's very confusing right now, and I don't know. Regarding the hot employment data, the Friday market clearly interpreted it as favorable, but I am cautious. Currently, I don't dare to go long or short blindly; I can only stock up on bonds, reserve enough cash, and buy high-quality individual stocks. Let's take a walk and watch.
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本人散户，闲钱投资，名字为富图系统生成。这里记录投资感悟与趣事。所有言论都纯属娱乐，不是投资建议。㊗️大家越来越🐮
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高贵的阿德莱德OP : Forget to mention, as I mentioned before, if interest rate hikes end, even though interest rates are still high and the economy is very weak, US stocks are likely to have a good rebound. I'll take part of my position and participate. The real bottom of a bear market is when the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates to bail out the market. Simply put, the end of interest rate hikes is positive, and the beginning of interest rate cuts is bad.
缘起 : Apple will pull back and fall in the near future. The current situation is suitable for shorting. Are you doing long-term or short-term band operations?
102764470 : How much of a Tesla is right to start with
高贵的阿德莱德OP 缘起: Currently, I really don't dare to go short, especially giants like Apple and Microsoft. I think there is actually no long-term short-term investment in stocks; it is only active and passive (fixed investment). If it's active, Apple is currently not a good place to buy when it comes to Tesla, regardless of whether it lasts a long time or fry for a short time. If Apple and Tesla can go back to around 150, you can buy them for a long time or a short fry
imaginative Coyote_8 : Will not go back this year
高贵的阿德莱德OP 102764470: My plan: buy in batches around 150,130 this year. Sold in batches around 175 and 200. If the Federal Reserve maintains current interest rates until the end of the year, then next year may give everyone a chance to hit the bottom of around 110, or even below 100.
缘起 高贵的阿德莱德OP: I agree with your strategy, but after the recent rise, there will definitely be a decline. The current situation is suitable for shorting. What are your views on the current situation?
高贵的阿德莱德OP imaginative Coyote_8: I'm also currently bullish on the stock market, but I don't dare to pursue it higher. Hopefully, the Fed will not cut interest rates before the end of the year to ensure that inflation is controlled. As long as the economy does not collapse, there is no need for the Fed to cut interest rates, and US stocks can still rise.
imaginative Coyote_8 高贵的阿德莱德OP: I think supposed There's no way to cut interest rates. The US economy is so good, unless the number of unemployed people continues to increase,
高贵的阿德莱德OP 缘起: I have no opinion on the situation. It's so chaotic. There may be a pullback, but overall I'm still bullish. Be cautious about shorting, be aware of the risks, and calculate the profit and loss ratio before making a decision.
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