Do you think a recession is coming?
The Fed lifts rates by a quarter point as banking turmoil complicates inflation fight in March. However, consumer confidence dropped to a nine-month low as the effects of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes may be starting to take hold. The central bank is still largely expected to raise rates by 25 basis points at its May 2-3 policy meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. It seems that a recession is on its way…
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NANA123 :
70108039 : 200%
Expendabiggles : 1000%. Plus war, plus over 2% permanent inflation, plus debt ceiling hike, plus digital FED coins, plus stock & bond market crash. And online sales crash 2.0
productivity : @allen kidd @bullrider_21 @cola1010 @Cow Moo-ney @ceerup @Dr_Stock @doctorpot1 @Godspeed289 @intuitive Jackal_354 @iamiam @JM investor @ZnWC @Samooer hopefully could see your ideas
productivity : I believe the recession is coming soon. Just wonder how could be prepared…
bullrider_21 : Now, the only thing you can do is to buy during the bear rallies.
The prices of crude oil and diesel have fallen a lot and recession fears. They are showing the surest signs that a recession is coming.
The stock market has fallen a lot less and has not factored in a recession at all. This is because analysts are betting that the Fed will cut rates later this year to prevent a hard landing because of the banking crisis and to prop up stock prices.
There were more than 150k layoffs this year. Many companies have given profit warnings. During a recession, earnings typically drop about 20%. Commodity prices and hence inflation may rise later this year. The Fed will need to continue to hike rates to tame high inflation. So stocks have a lot to fall.
ZnWC : Recession whether coming or not, the important thing is to be prepared and be hopeful. The following articles are written about inflation and recession:
Are we heading towards a soft landing recession?
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/110251577704454?data_ticket=212ca245a589f1e400fb2e247953bc77&futusource=nnq_personal_host&content_type=feeddetail
Stock market outlook in 2023 - Be hopeful
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/109631372853254?data_ticket=212ca245a589f1e400fb2e247953bc77&futusource=nnq_personal_host&content_type=feeddetail
Safe portfolio in bear market?
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/109235802406918?data_ticket=212ca245a589f1e400fb2e247953bc77&futusource=nnq_personal_host&content_type=feeddetail
iamiam : we have had a technical recession, and we will get an official one later this year. the difference between the two is employment. it will spike later this year.
Kevin Lehmann : because agricultural comes in later to boost economy includibf exports.maybe next year who knows that far.
Kevin Lehmann : plan your agricultural now
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