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Recession Looms as Small Businesses Are Filing for Bankruptcy at a Record Pace

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Analysts Notebook wrote a column · Apr 8, 2023 05:09
Small businesses in the United States are filing for bankruptcy at a rate not seen since 2020.
The four-week moving average for private filings in late February was 73% higher than in June 2020, according to the note from UBS Evidence Lab, which shows private bankruptcy filings in 2023 have exceeded the highest point recorded during the early stages of the Covid pandemic by a considerable amount.
One of the more underappreciated signs of distress in US corporate credit is already emanating from the small- and mid-size enterprise sector, says UBS head of credit strategy Matthew Mish.
Recession Looms as Small Businesses Are Filing for Bankruptcy at a Record Pace
[The] smallest of firms [are] facing the most severe pressure from rising rates, persistent inflation, and slowing growth," said Mish.
Bankruptcy hot spots right now include the real estate industry, which has led to this year's increase in filings, but the healthcare sector could follow suit as credit stress seeps into the labor market, according to UBS.
The Federal Reserve's monetary tightening to combat inflationary pressures is largely responsible for the increase in bankruptcies.
The fear of a credit crunch has exacerbated the rise in defaults. Larger businesses are not bulletproof, according to UBS.
Recession Looms as Small Businesses Are Filing for Bankruptcy at a Record Pace
Credit conditions are tightening across the spectrum. Large businesses and individual borrowers are feeling the heat as well.
As of February 2023, the monthly bankruptcy filings exceeded 31,000, an 18% year-over-year rise from the 25,564 bankruptcy filings reported last year, according to data provided by the American Bankruptcy Institute. The increase in Chapter 11 bankruptcies — typically used by larger businesses — rose by 83% over the same period, with 373 total filings in February of this year, the report said.
Source: UBS, Business Insider
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