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Monthly Journal: Traders' Insights Wanted!
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Always Pay Special Attention to the Areas of Major Resistance

In a previous post of mine from last week I mentioned how you should pay special attention to the major areas of resistance. Typically on an uptrend you will find sellers stepping in at major resistance levels. You'll also find investors covering their long position at major resistance levels during an uptrend. Today appears to be one of those days so far.
Last year was the year of inflation. During last year inflation was way too high and it was really hurting equities. So last year we needed to see inflation coming down to have some dovishness for equities. So last year bad news on economic data was good news for equities.
SpyderCall :From The Year of Inflation to The Year of Disinflation
https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/109640612577285?data_ticket=503374bcb16985dbcf5d859821fc6dab&futusource=nnq_personal_host
Inflation is obviously coming down at this point. So this year is the year of disinflation. Disinflation is very bad for an economy. It is the last thing you want to see. But we need inflation to come down. It is indeed coming down and it is affecting the economic data like we saw today. There was very bad economic data on all data points. The market initially reacted positively to the slowdown in economic activity. But the narrative in the media is that the bad news was too bad today. And that is the reason for this sell-off in equities.
Always Pay Special Attention to the Areas of Major Resistance
This corresponds with exactly what I had mentioned in another previous post where I explained that bad news is good news until it's too bad. That is the narrative for this year. And it is playing out as we speak after the economic data was released today.
As for the technical picture you can see that this release of hawkish economic data perfectly corresponded with a breakdown of this ascending wedge pattern near major resistance levels. Technically speaking this is short-term bearish.
Always Pay Special Attention to the Areas of Major Resistance
If you still have faith in the uptrend that started at the beginning of this year then I have mapped out a few support levels to watch for a potential bounce in price action. You can see these support zones in the graph below.
Always Pay Special Attention to the Areas of Major Resistance
Personally I think this is just a minor correction before the uptrend continues. So I am still bullish during this correction. I believe we need more increasingly hawkish data before we can have a true downtrend. But I'm not always right so I just follow the trends. And I am covering my long position at the moment because of the breakdown of the short-term ascending wedge pattern near long-term resistance levels such as the 200-day moving average and the long-term downward trending bear market resistance. And the long-term trend is down so technically I should be looking for short positions.
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