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2022 Santa Claus Rally: Happy ending or losing faith?
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Can Gold's Rally Climb Higher?

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SpyderCall joined discussion · Dec 20, 2022 23:45
Can Gold's Rally Climb Higher?
Will the Gold Rally Continue?
Gold has been on a very strong rally off of the 52-week lows made previously this year. All year long gold's value has been held down by the strength of the dollar rally. The strength in gold started when the market started to believe that the Federal Reserve will begin slowing down its interest rate hiking regime. Many investors exited their long dollar position in masses in anticipation that treasury yields will no longer climb now that the Fed is changing their policy position. This seemingly ended the dollar rally and started the rally in gold futures.
Can the Federal Reserve Hold Gold Down Any Longer
Gold is already up over 11% from its 52-week lows. This is ultimately due to the falling dollar. Once again the Federal reserve hinted towards higher rates for longer at their last meeting which decided interest rates moving forward. But the market does not seem to agree with Jarome Powell as the dollar is still in a technical downtrend and treasury yields have not pushed upward like they have in the past after the Federal Reserve released their interest rate reports. So for now it seems like the Fed has not killed this gold rally yet like they have seemingly killed the equity/Santa rally.
The BOJ Policy Shift is Dovish for Gold
Another apparently positive factor contributing to the strength in gold is the recent Bank of Japan’s policy change. The BOJ’s recent monetary policy shift has led to investors piling into the yen which is weakening the US dollar further. This trend should last for some time. As long as the yen is showing upward strength then it will indirectly be good for gold.
Things are Looking Bullish for the Precious Metal
All of the macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces are pointing towards more gold bullishness. Remember that the market can do whatever it wants at any given moment. And many investors much smarter than me are saying the BOJ's decision is bearish for gold. I don't think so but I am just following the trend until it flips over again. So don't get caught off guard. And gold has already jumped 11% off of this year's lows so it may be smart to wait for a small dip to buy into before buying into these highs. If the dollar and treasury yields begin to show strong upside strength then, in theory, gold futures will show some downward movement. So keep your eyes on the dollar and yields.
I should also mention that the majority of investors are calling for a recession in America. If this happens then gold might return as the ultimate safe haven. I don't think the US dolar will be a haven in an American recession. The yen could possibly return as a safe haven as well if its value keeps climbing. But that is another story.
Can Gold's Rally Climb Higher?
Check Out the YouTube Video to Get Insight Into Gold Futures
If you have kept up with my gold futures playlist on my YouTube channel then you would have had the perfect entry into a long position on gold futures or gold related equities. I went over my thesis for buying into gold and it has really paid off so far. You can see the entry point illustrated in the picture above. These opportunities happen often.
So check out this short video describing the current technical picture for gold. It is always good to catch any extra insight right? You will get all of the technical support and resistance levels mapped out for gold futures in this video. These are the levels to watch for potential reversals or dip buying opportunities. Feel free to like the video and subscribe. It would be greatly appreciated. Click the link below to watch the video.
Disclaimer: Community is offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. and is for educational purposes only. Read more
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