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S&P 500 Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again This Time?

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Chatterbox Moo wrote a column · Sep 20, 2022 22:19
The previous four times the Fed raised interest rates in 2022 - March 16, May 4, June 15 and July 27 - the $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ rallied 2.2%, 3%, 1.5% and 2.6%, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
Could it happen again on Wednesday?
S&P 500 Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again This Time?
Those bounces have so far proved fleeting, with the S&P 500 down more than 19% for the year to date. In fact, the Fed's aggressive tightening of monetary policy as it attempts to tame inflation gets much of the blame for the market's downturn in 2022.
Higher rates can incentivize investors to sell assets and to take profits in the stock market. But recent analysis conducted by Dow Jones Market Data showed that during the most recent five long-term rate hike cycles, the three leading US stock market indexes only declined during one period.
S&P 500 Has Rallied on Day of Every Fed Rate-hike Decision in 2022. Could It Happen Again This Time?
The S&P 500 saw a median increase across all five cycles of 30%, while the $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ delivered a median gain of nearly 27% and the $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ delivered a median increase of 17.4%.

Mooers, do you think the stock market could rally again after Fed interest rate decision this time?
Disclaimer: Moomoo Technologies Inc. is providing this content for information and educational use only. Read more
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