A magic way to navigate markets: investing with economic cycle
The stock market has had a roller coaster year as the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes sparked recession fears.
All eyes will be on Friday's May CPI reading. Many see the report as critical to the path of Fed policy and whether the central bank will stick to its aggressive 50 basis point rate hike.
The recent rebound has somewhat eased investor pessimism. Two big questions still plague investors: is now the time to buy? Where to put cash right now?
The stock market is closely related to the macro economy and company operations. Our investment performance is directly affected by corporate earnings, interest rates, inflation and other factors.
We know that economy has its own cycles, just like the stock market will rise and fall periodically. Merrill Lynch's investment clock may be a good strategy to help you develop a better trading plan.
Understanding the historical performance of various types of assets at different stages of the economic cycle can help investors identify opportunities and/or risks and adjust portfolios.
What's Merrill Lynch's investment clock?
Merrill Lynch's investment clock divides the economic cycle into four stages: reflation, recovery, overheat, and stagflation.
Each phase is comprised of the direction of growth and inflation relative to their trends. A classic boom-bust cycle would start from the bottom left and move clockwise as bonds, stocks, commodities, and cash outperforms in turn.
What's Merrill Lynch's investment clock?
Merrill Lynch's investment clock divides the economic cycle into four stages: reflation, recovery, overheat, and stagflation.
Each phase is comprised of the direction of growth and inflation relative to their trends. A classic boom-bust cycle would start from the bottom left and move clockwise as bonds, stocks, commodities, and cash outperforms in turn.
History provides guidance on how different types of assets perform at each stage. However, the actual market is always more complicated than the theory.
This is why continual learning and reflection on our own trading is a must for successful traders.
Read more for complete understanding of Merrill Lynch's investment clock
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Read more for complete understanding of Merrill Lynch's investment clock
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whqqq : sensible sharing，it's very useful to me
Dons hobby : I have a question about ADR fees. I bought 40 shares of NIO I had no idea about these fees. They didn't tell me what the fees were yesterday. Today they froze 110.78 I guess for ADR fees is this right 110.78 for 40 shares and I not understanding or is this about the usual cost ? I don't know because I have never bought NIO before
Moomoo LearnOP : We always welcome any feedback on Learning Badges. Go update your app and be one of the first stock/options/fund masters.
lightfoot : CPI remains at 8.3% with exceptions of some commodities. Maybe the left will now understand Conservatism!!!! I could only hope. This shows how narrow minded Or lack of knowledge he and his cohorts are. Nancy Pelose is worth millions on a salary of 176k per year. Do the math. pass legislation that will bump prices of stock. while Paul buys low.
Moomoo LearnOP whqqq: Glad to be useful.
Moomoo LearnOP Dons hobby: https://fastsupport.fututrade.com/topic228?lang=en-us&from_platform=4
Hope this link could answer your question. If you need further help, please do not hesitate to contact our online service for better experience.
Dons hobby Moomoo LearnOP: Thank you I will do that in the future. I appreciate you taking the time to explain and give info links. Moo Moo is the best trading platform I have ever looked into as far as trading goes
Thanks everyone I do appreciate you all.
Dons hobby lightfoot: I agree 1000%, they are all pieces of shi. always have been always will be. I hate them ALL, including anyone that would try to push thier BS or even agrees with it
THIS MUSH HEAD AND ALL OF HIS SUPPORTERS AND ADMINISTRATION ARE THE WORST GROUP OF PEOPLE THAT HAVE EVER WALKED ON DIRT.
BAR NONE
Dons hobby Dons hobby: And never will again
SatyrForest Dons hobby: Wow that’s
no NIO for me !
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