Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

After a chaotic selloff with passive sentiment, $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ bounced 12.35%, 9.11% in a m... Show More

After a chaotic selloff with passive sentiment, $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ and $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ bounced 12.35%, 9.11% in a month respectively.

Some institutional investors believe it is still a 'suckers' rally amid a bear market, but others are predicting the interest rates peak will support a market bottom.

Which stocks can outperform in a market rebound? Is the rally a comeback or just a bear trap?

Views

376K

Posts

143

Join topic

New

Hot

Investing 101

08/02/2022 18:33

Jobs opening and FED Bullard speaking today! How will that affect markets?!
Will Nancy Pelosi visit taiwan and spark another conflict between US & China?!
So far we can already see the rally weakening which has been shared on the video. My initial thoughts was a top on either monday or tuesday. We had one bearish looking daily candle on the $NASDAQ 100 Index(.NDX.US)$ & $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ on monday's close. Could that be our top? OR will tuesday do a final push up to get a top before we st...

RALLY IS SHOWING 1ST SIGN OF WEAKNESS! VIX SPY QQQ ANALYSIS

From YouTube

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

doctorpot1

08/08/2022 22:03

I'm officially a meme stock trader now, to the moooooon

My first ever meme stock bet

Despite knowing it is overvalued. Despite knowing the liabilities is way too high. Despite knowing the cash burn rate is way too high. Despite everything in my bones saying NOOOOOO. I still bet that $Bed Bath & Beyond Inc(BBBY.US)$ will go up and apes will say "because I like the stocks"

The IV of 200% is just tooooooo hard for the tetha gang in me to resist.
Position
Sold 5 PUT options at a strike price o...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

Milk The Cow

08/02/2022 21:22

12% Rebounded in a month, a comeback or bear trap?

I guess it "may" be a bear trap as most companies are doing quite badly generally

.
However the stock price movement indicate that it "may" be a comeback

..., which make no sense to me...

Which stock can outperformed in a market comeback?
Of course is $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ . The 2Q22 report has proven itself & the recent price movement show that it is a beast when it needs to be

= no time to wait for ppls / investors to catch.
Tech sectors li...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

TeslaSmurf : I think it’s only the shareholders’ meeting drive: a quick and VERY strong rise till the split, then a vertical pull back, then a more normal but strong recovery on the Q3 production data and Ai day, to be followed by a fall or a crash (depending on the Twitter saga). If Twitter ends well for Elon we will see a ATH by November-December, if not, it may depend from an eventual BUY BACK decision to compensate the fall, but I wouldn’t worry too much. Just big trading opportunities.

Report
Reply
Milk The CowOP TeslaSmurf: Yar lor, that's some what similar to what I think...
Actually, the AI worry me a bit as there's no guarantee...
(Welp, who knows. It's Tesla afterall & ppls are curious on it, whether buying it for criticism or for curiosity... so it may sell well for 1st day .)
How high u think price can go up to before stock split?
& the US & China thing is scary ... If it really..., then it may be end game for the stock market...

Report
Reply
TeslaSmurf Milk The CowOP: About the China-US tension I can’t believe they would destroy themselves in economic terms. The Americans on one side have to show strenght after the giant errors both in Afghanistan and with Russia (besides, mid term elections are coming). On the other side, I can’t imagine the Chinese invading Taiwan and killing their own people… for what ? It would destroy their economy, erase the global commerce (Chinese industry mostly for exportation) and cause serious internal instability they would have to stop again with their own blood. I don’t think the people would tolerate another Tien-an-men massacre, except this time it could be much worse and not only in Peking. They already are amidst a huge protest for the mortgages of non delivered housing… imagine if all the export industry should stop working.
Of course the craziest things have happened in history…
About the price: it should be different from the first split due to the general condition of the market. Less craziness, more fear, but a lot depends on what will come out from the shareholder’s meeting. Anyway, the conditions seem better than the Amazon and the other recent splits as the general narrative has changed even amid an incoming recession.
I’m not focused on the price it can reach (though I imagine a new ATH for a very short time is even possible) but on the timing: if it reaches quite a high price, it will fall vertically the day after the split for the whole week, losing at least half of what gained from the announcement day.

Report
Reply
TeslaSmurf : If nothing strange happens, then September could be a good month of recovery with the Ai expectativas and the good results of Q3, but BEFORE that: AFTER it will fall, both because the expectative will be priced-in before the earnings and because the big uncertainty incoming for the Twitter trial in late October. If Elon is forced to buy (I don’t think it is possible, but I’m not the judge) the stock will crash. If he wins, it will rally a bit, and if he gets just fined having to pay just some billions (most probable) of his own CASH, it won’t be a huge problem (it won’t involve his TSLA stocks). In any case Tesla has the 10 billion Buy Back “secret card” they can use to help the stock in case of need. IF they anticipate something about that in the shareholder’s meeting, it would be huge, and a great weapon against the shorters, useful at any moment, as no one would dare a big short with that “menace” pending.
I will be playing all that with TSLA stocks (options move too fast), TSLQ (after selling any TSLA) and, eventually, shorting TQQQ if there is a fall due to the general market.
It will be HOT
What do YOU think ?

Report
Reply
Milk The CowOP TeslaSmurf: For the US-China tension on Taiwan , I also think an invasion is unlikely.
However, we already got 1 idiot like Putin & for now, I can't really void out that there may be more idiots out there...
Welp, maybe China will be slightly smarter than the Putin .
In response to the recent action, China mobilised their troopes near Taiwan for 'exercising training'...
Is $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ history after stock split like that, vertically down ? I'm still not in it that time since I joined the US market late...

Report
Reply

View more comments...

iamiam

08/02/2022 19:04

A quick post

$iShares Silver Trust(SLV.US)$$Micro Silver Futures(DEC3)(SILmain.US)$ Flew too high and separated from the Moving Averages, this is a pullback to around 19.2 then I become a buyer again.
$Crude Oil Futures(NOV3)(CLmain.US)$ Yesterday changed my oil outlook as it fell below trendline, where it had been holding. 75 IS in play, this is bad though, it means the world economies are in bad shape, specifically china, this price drop tells me the market does not believe china will r...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

True Trading Group

08/22/2022 08:29

WARNING Stock Market Crash Prediction from Michael Burry, FED Meeting & Stocks to Buy This Week LIVE Sunday 8/21 @ 8:30 pm ET on YouTube!

WARNING Michael Burry ‘The Big Short’ Gives a HUGE STOCK MARKET CRASH Prediction as He Sells Almost All of His Stocks is He Right?
Will there be a new massive stock market crash wherein all traders and investors should immediately prepare for? According to a recent CNBC Stock Market interview with Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, the answer is NO! Tom Lee thinks the stock...

WARNING Stock Market Crash Prediction from Michael Burry, FED Meeting & Stocks to Buy This Week LIVE

From YouTube

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

whqqq

08/03/2022 14:37

Timing is important

When a stock price is already low, there will always be people shouting that it will go lower! The fear factor will be high and most people will end up not committing to a buy only to regret not buying earlier when prices starts to rise. Such is the nature of our human psychology.
$BABA-SW(09988.HK)$$Alibaba(BABA.US)$$TENCENT(00700.HK)$$Tencent(TCEHY.US)$$Baidu(BIDU.US)$$China Concept Stocks(BK2517.US)$

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

powerful Gopher_3861

08/04/2022 00:13

from sept, QT will be increased to 95b per MTH, remains to be seen if market will be able to absorb it and still swing higher.
other than interest rate QE is actually the bigger force behind the stock market boom, I will wait till Oct for a clearer picture.

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

cola1010

08/07/2022 20:46

Market

There are few best-performing stocks in 2022 the companies trade on major US stocks, such as several oil and gas stocks benefiting from surging energy prices and health care stocks as well. The S&P 500 remains down more than 10% this year, but some of the top-performing stocks have bucked the bearish trend. Some others stock might still in bearish trend based on current economy situation, most companies still in a bad conditions except for those top-performing stocks, as below:
- $Target Hospitality(TH.US)$
...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

Rann New

08/02/2022 17:18

Economic Update

Stocks are slightly higher to start the month after July posted the best month since 2020.
For economic news today, the S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI met expectations at 52.2 in July, down from 52.7 in June, indicating operating conditions in July weakened further. This is lowest level in 2 years and is due to a drop in output and new orders, reflecting weaker demand conditions.
The July reading of the ISM Manufacturing PMI indicated similar results at 52.8%, in line with ex...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?

MHfin

08/02/2022 16:23

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$ Investors worried about the next pullback for stocks might want to pause and consider this: the decline in equity valuations since the start of the year already has exceeded the average pullback of other recessionary periods since the early 1990s, according to $JPMorgan(JPM.US)$’s equity quant Marko Kolanovic. While more Wall Street analysts have been painting a grim picture of the trajectory of corporate profits this year, Kolanovic, who suc...

Rebounded 12% in a month: comeback or bear trap?