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Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed that US CPI rose by 4.2% year-over-year in May, marking its highest level since early 2023 and signaling that CPI inflation has broken the 4% threshold for the first time in three years.
1. Historical Perspective: 4% Inflation Isn't Unprecedented, but It’s Rare in the Last Three Decades
Since 1992, 83% of monthly observations have remained steadily within the 1% to 4%...
1. Historical Perspective: 4% Inflation Isn't Unprecedented, but It’s Rare in the Last Three Decades
Since 1992, 83% of monthly observations have remained steadily within the 1% to 4%...
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The May CPI report drops Wednesday, June 10 at 8:30 AM ET — and the timing could hardly be worse. Crude is still pricey on the Iran war's Hormuz risk premium, the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ just absorbed a post- $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ AI/Tech selloff, and 10Y yields sit at 4.55% with the YTD high (4.67%) one hot print away. This is the last major inflation reading before the June 17 FOMC, and the tape is bracing for the hottest headline numb...
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Semiconductor stocks have had a choppy week. The $iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX.US)$ (SOXX) has pulled back roughly 5.6% over the past five sessions—enough to remind investors that chip-linked names still behave as high-beta exposure even when longer-term demand narratives remain intact.
Under the surface, market breadth has been soft: among the largest 300 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ constituents, advancers trail declin...
Under the surface, market breadth has been soft: among the largest 300 $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ constituents, advancers trail declin...
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Morning Movers
Gapping Up
$ChowChow Cloud International (CHOW.US)$ soared 131.82% in premarket trading.
$Ming Shing Group (MSW.US)$ soared 35.61% in premarket trading after closing its 110 million acquisition of PMA Nano Carbon Tech Limited funded by unsecured convertible promissory notes.
$Hitek Global (HKIT.US)$ soared 35.13% in premarket trading.
$YY Group (YYGH.US)$ surged 24.58% in premarket trading after announcing a commerci...
Gapping Up
$ChowChow Cloud International (CHOW.US)$ soared 131.82% in premarket trading.
$Ming Shing Group (MSW.US)$ soared 35.61% in premarket trading after closing its 110 million acquisition of PMA Nano Carbon Tech Limited funded by unsecured convertible promissory notes.
$Hitek Global (HKIT.US)$ soared 35.13% in premarket trading.
$YY Group (YYGH.US)$ surged 24.58% in premarket trading after announcing a commerci...
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by Monta HONG, CFA | Options Strategist
Index Options
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ put skew flashes a bearish tilt on semis. The 25-delta put-call IV spread on SMH has spiked to ~6.5 vol points, well above its 20-day average and 250-day average. Traders are paying a sharp premium for downside protection on chips — the steepest skew since late March. With CPI to release Wednesday and FOMC ...
Index Options
$VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH.US)$ put skew flashes a bearish tilt on semis. The 25-delta put-call IV spread on SMH has spiked to ~6.5 vol points, well above its 20-day average and 250-day average. Traders are paying a sharp premium for downside protection on chips — the steepest skew since late March. With CPI to release Wednesday and FOMC ...
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March CPI drops Friday, April 10 at 8:30am ET. A ceasefire has sparked a sharp relief rally -- the S&P 500 surged 2.4%, the Dow jumped over 1,300 points, and semis ripped 6.3% -- but this print covers March -- when oil hit $119, jet fuel spiked 75%, and the Iran war choked Strait of Hormuz transit. The FOMC minutes confirmed the "vast majority" of participants see elevated risks tobothinflation and employment. No rate cuts ar...
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$DBS (D05.SG)$ $OCBC Bank (O39.SG)$ $XAG/USD (XAGUSD.FX)$ $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ $Singtel (Z74.SG)$ a little update. iran media state "confirmed" that they (us) agreed on a deal to stop the war. on the other hand includes lifting previous sanctions on iran, withdrawal of us troops and naval blockade. not sure if it's fully "real" just a sharing. anyways look at crude oil down to 84+. us indices are spiking up as we talk. ![]()
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Last Friday, when the market was selling off hard, I posted: "Scared of the dump? Don't be fooled."
The Nasdaq dropped 4.2%. The S&P fell 2.6%. Its worst day since October 2025. Portfolios bleeding. Panic everywhere.
The trigger? A strong jobs report. Employers added 172,000 jobs in May. It was nearly double what analysts expected.
And the market treated good economic news like the end of the world.
My point was simple: a strong j...
The Nasdaq dropped 4.2%. The S&P fell 2.6%. Its worst day since October 2025. Portfolios bleeding. Panic everywhere.
The trigger? A strong jobs report. Employers added 172,000 jobs in May. It was nearly double what analysts expected.
And the market treated good economic news like the end of the world.
My point was simple: a strong j...
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$DBS (D05.SG)$ $OCBC Bank (O39.SG)$ $UOB (U11.SG)$
CPI data came in at 4.2% tonight, within analysts expectations - ie priced in by the market already.
Traders now give a 66% chance of a rate hike by december 2026 - if you recall, we started the year with 2 rate cuts priced in. If indeed a rate hike comes to pass, this may be good news for bank NIM earnings.
The only exceptions that can lead to a rate cut are:
1) If Trump pressures his puppet Warsh to cut rates, despite the high inflation. You saw ho...
CPI data came in at 4.2% tonight, within analysts expectations - ie priced in by the market already.
Traders now give a 66% chance of a rate hike by december 2026 - if you recall, we started the year with 2 rate cuts priced in. If indeed a rate hike comes to pass, this may be good news for bank NIM earnings.
The only exceptions that can lead to a rate cut are:
1) If Trump pressures his puppet Warsh to cut rates, despite the high inflation. You saw ho...
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$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ weekly cluster wicks always get filled with solid bodies . we filled 672 but have a higher cluster at 689 will it go there ?
next chart oil i mean pretty simple honestly i expect it to have a bit more down side before a bounce .
when vix hits 30 you buy & i did ! now its retracing as every spike does! support is still -20% lower
gold gold gold . its setting to go 5-7% higher before collapsing as it did previously. i wonder what will cause it as same ...
next chart oil i mean pretty simple honestly i expect it to have a bit more down side before a bounce .
when vix hits 30 you buy & i did ! now its retracing as every spike does! support is still -20% lower
gold gold gold . its setting to go 5-7% higher before collapsing as it did previously. i wonder what will cause it as same ...
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101628797kammalran : goldem dome ,, you wil go up
MsJoveTan :
106830753 : Trend of the times
Dr Stone : smart move to keep on the cutting edge of tech but know that there will only be a hzndfull of winners so look at the companies that are profitable and able go finance growth with existing earnings and be picky so this investment will be seen on the nothom line sooner then later
Slay2dudes : ok
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